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BTC

SELL
Generated 9 days ago (January 21, 2026 at 05:20 PM)

Confidence Score

74.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: 🔴 Bearish
Action: SELL
Asset: BTC

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$86,200
▼ 1.72% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$86,200
▼ 1.72% from current
30 Day
$83,500
▼ 4.80% from current
90 Day
$79,000
▼ 9.93% from current

Detailed Reasoning

BTC is in a clear short-term downtrend with bearish momentum. Price ($87,711) is below the 12/26/50/200 EMAs (EMA12 $88,858; EMA26 $89,386; EMA50 $90,334; EMA200 $92,554), confirming a bearish market structure and overhead resistance stack. MACD remains negative (line -527.93 below signal -498.57) with a negative histogram (-29.35), indicating downside momentum is still active rather than reversing. RSI at 37.19 is near oversold but not yet at capitulation levels; this suggests limited immediate bounce strength and risk of another leg down. Price is also hugging the lower Bollinger Band ($87,701) after a high-volume breakdown candle (16:00 close $87,534 on 9,044 volume), which often signals continuation before stabilization. Volume is near average (0.98x), so there’s no strong capitulation buy signal yet. Ideal stop loss for a short/exit level is above the broken support and EMA12 zone near $89,250.

Key Factors

1 Price below all key EMAs (12/26/50/200) with bearish alignment indicating dominant downtrend
2 MACD negative with negative histogram, confirming bearish momentum continuation
3 Breakdown move on elevated volume followed by price holding near lower Bollinger Band (continuation risk)

Risk Assessment

Moderate-to-high risk due to RSI near oversold (bounce risk) and ATR ~$786 implying fast swings; key risk is a short squeeze back above $89k-$90.3k (EMA12/EMA50).

Market Context

Bearish structure: lower lows and lower highs intraday, major resistance overhead at $89k-$90.3k and broader trend pressure from EMA200 at $92.6k.

Technical Data

Current Price $87,711.5
24h Change -1.95%
Trend Bearish
RSI 37.19 Neutral-Bearish
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
88,857.66
BELOW
EMA 26
89,385.58
BELOW
EMA 50
90,334.25
BELOW
EMA 200
92,554.43
BELOW
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 90,302.58
Middle: 89,002.00
Lower: 87,701.42