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ETH

SELL
Generated 9 days ago (January 21, 2026 at 12:40 PM)

Confidence Score

74.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: 🔴 Bearish
Action: SELL
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$2,850
▼ 2.36% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$2,850
▼ 2.36% from current
30 Day
$2,720
▼ 6.82% from current
90 Day
$2,550
▼ 12.64% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is showing a clear short-term bearish structure with price ($2918.95) trading below all key EMAs (12/26/50/200), confirming sustained downside momentum and overhead supply. The 24h drop (-5.16%) combined with a high volume spike (4.87x average) suggests distribution and capitulation-like selling pressure rather than a quiet pullback. RSI at 40.71 is weak and not yet oversold, leaving room for continuation lower. While MACD histogram has turned slightly positive (2.82) with the MACD line above the signal (less negative), this reads more like early bearish momentum loss than a confirmed reversal—especially as price is pressing the lower Bollinger Band (lower $2925.18) and has closed below it, indicating downside expansion risk. Immediate resistance is the BB mid/EMA12 zone (~$2970–$2962), with stronger resistance near $3000 (EMA26/BB upper). Given bearish trend alignment and heavy sell volume, the higher-probability trade is to sell/close longs and target the next support zone. Ideal stop loss for a short is above $3005 to invalidate the breakdown.

Key Factors

1 Price below all major EMAs (12/26/50/200), confirming bearish trend and overhead resistance
2 Breakdown toward/below lower Bollinger Band with strong sell volume (4.87x), signaling continuation risk
3 RSI 40.7 not oversold + only tentative MACD improvement, suggesting bounce signals are not yet confirmed

Risk Assessment

Moderate-to-high risk due to elevated volatility and potential mean-reversion bounce after a sharp -5% day; however, trend/EMA alignment favors downside. Key risk is a short squeeze reclaiming $2970–$3000 on strong bid support.

Market Context

Bearish market structure: lower highs/lower lows intraday, heavy sell-side volume into a breakdown, and price trading below short-, mid-, and long-term moving averages.

Technical Data

Current Price $2,918.95
24h Change -5.16%
Trend Bearish
RSI 40.71 Neutral-Bearish
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
2,961.73
BELOW
EMA 26
3,000.28
BELOW
EMA 50
3,062.85
BELOW
EMA 200
3,180.28
BELOW
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 3,014.97
Middle: 2,970.08
Lower: 2,925.18