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ETH

SELL
Generated 9 days ago (January 21, 2026 at 12:20 PM)

Confidence Score

76.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: 🔴 Bearish
Action: SELL
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$2,845
▼ 2.30% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$2,845
▼ 2.30% from current
30 Day
$2,680
▼ 7.96% from current
90 Day
$2,480
▼ 14.83% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is in a clear short-term downtrend with price ($2911.85) trading below all key EMAs (12/26/50/200), confirming bearish market structure and overhead resistance stacking from ~$2960 to ~$3180. Momentum is weak: RSI 39.14 is not yet oversold, leaving room for further downside before a high-probability mean reversion. Although MACD histogram has turned slightly positive (2.33) with the MACD line (-39.1) above signal (-41.43), this reads more like a minor relief attempt within a broader bearish regime rather than a confirmed reversal (both lines remain deeply negative). Price is also pressing the lower Bollinger Band (lower ~$2923) and has broken below it to ~$2912, suggesting downside expansion rather than consolidation. The last hourly candle shows heavy distribution: a sharp drop to $2903.5 on 2.74x average volume, indicating sellers are in control. Given the strong bearish trend + high sell volume, the higher-conviction trade is to close longs / position short, targeting the next support zone below current price. Ideal stop loss for the short: $2970 (above BB mid and prior intraday pivot).

Key Factors

1 Price below 12/26/50/200 EMAs with bearish trend structure and stacked resistance overhead
2 High-volume selloff (2.74x average) into/through lower Bollinger Band signaling distribution
3 RSI 39 (not oversold) + MACD still negative overall, implying downside room despite minor histogram uptick

Risk Assessment

Moderate-to-high risk due to elevated volatility from the 24h -5.38% move; risk is a sharp short-covering bounce if price reclaims $2960-$2970. Use tight risk controls and avoid oversizing.

Market Context

Bearish market structure: lower highs/lower lows intraday, price below all major EMAs, with sellers dominating on rising volume; any bounce likely faces resistance near $2960-$3000.

Technical Data

Current Price $2,911.85
24h Change -5.38%
Trend Bearish
RSI 39.14 Neutral-Bearish
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
2,960.67
BELOW
EMA 26
2,999.77
BELOW
EMA 50
3,062.58
BELOW
EMA 200
3,180.21
BELOW
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 3,016.28
Middle: 2,969.73
Lower: 2,923.18