← Back to All Recommendations

ETH

SELL
Generated 11 days ago (January 19, 2026 at 10:40 PM)

Confidence Score

74.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: 🔴 Bearish
Action: SELL
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$3,182
▼ 0.63% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$3,165
▼ 1.16% from current
30 Day
$3,050
▼ 4.75% from current
90 Day
$2,850
▼ 11.00% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is showing a weak, bearish structure with price ($3202.25) trading below all key EMAs (12/26/50/200), confirming overhead supply and a downtrend bias. Momentum is not yet oversold: RSI 42 suggests room for further downside before a mean-reversion bid becomes compelling. Although MACD histogram is positive (3.08) with the MACD line above the signal (less negative), this reads as a bearish-momentum slowdown rather than a confirmed reversal because both lines remain below zero and price failed to reclaim the EMA cluster around $3216–$3255. Bollinger Bands are extremely tight (0.96% bandwidth), and the latest candle pushed to the lower band area ($3197.79) on high volume (1.83x), indicating distribution and increased probability of a volatility expansion downward. Order book is also ask-heavy (large size at best ask), reinforcing near-term selling pressure. Preferred trade is to close longs / take a tactical short toward the next support zone around $3175–$3185, with risk defined above the EMA/upper band region.

Key Factors

1 Price below 12/26/50/200 EMAs, confirming bearish market structure and overhead resistance
2 High-volume sell into lower Bollinger Band with very tight bandwidth, signaling likely downside volatility expansion
3 RSI 42 and MACD still below zero suggest downside room despite minor momentum stabilization

Risk Assessment

Moderate risk: Bollinger squeeze can break either way and MACD histogram improvement raises reversal risk; protect with a tight stop above the EMA/upper-band resistance zone.

Market Context

Short-term bearish trend with consolidation near $3200; price is compressing under a heavy EMA resistance stack, favoring continuation lower unless $3230–$3255 is reclaimed.

Technical Data

Current Price $3,202.25
24h Change -2.45%
Trend Bearish
RSI 42.07 Neutral-Bearish
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
3,216.06
BELOW
EMA 26
3,232.37
BELOW
EMA 50
3,254.46
BELOW
EMA 200
3,248.68
BELOW
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 3,228.52
Middle: 3,213.16
Lower: 3,197.79