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ETH

SELL
Generated 13 days ago (January 17, 2026 at 06:20 PM)

Confidence Score

74.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: πŸ”΄ Bearish
Action: SELL
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$3,301
β–Ό 0.51% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$3,290
β–Ό 0.85% from current
30 Day
$3,385
β–² 2.02% from current
90 Day
$3,600
β–² 8.50% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is in a bullish trend, but the near-term setup looks stretched and offers better risk/reward for profit-taking than fresh longs. RSI(14) at 73.52 is overbought, increasing odds of a mean-reversion pullback. Price ($3318) is pressing the upper Bollinger Band ($3324) with very tight bandwidth (1.4%), a common precursor to a volatility expansion; after the sharp 15:00 impulse candle to $3329, follow-through has stalled and recent closes are flat near $3318, suggesting short-term exhaustion. MACD remains positive (histogram +3.62), so this is not a trend-reversal call; it’s a tactical SELL to capture a retrace toward the mid-band/EMAs. Key supports sit at the BB midline/EMA cluster ($3301–$3300) and then $3278 (lower band). Ideal stop loss for the trade: $3334 (above the $3329 swing high plus ~0.5–1 ATR), targeting a pullback with at least ~1:2 R/R.

Key Factors

1 RSI overbought (73.5) + price hugging upper Bollinger Band, signaling stretched conditions
2 Momentum impulse followed by consolidation near highs (potential exhaustion after $3329 spike)
3 Tight Bollinger bandwidth (1.4%) suggests volatility expansion risk; downside mean reversion favored

Risk Assessment

Moderate risk: primary risk is trend continuation and a breakout above $3329–$3335. Keep stop tight above the recent high; volatility is currently low (ATR ~$9), so a breakout could move quickly.

Market Context

Bullish higher-timeframe structure with price above EMA12/26/50/200, but short-term overbought and extended versus bands/EMAs, favoring a pullback toward $3300–$3278 before any further leg up.

Technical Data

Current Price $3,318.05
24h Change 1.24%
Trend Bullish
RSI 73.52 Overbought
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
3,309.64
ABOVE
EMA 26
3,303.93
ABOVE
EMA 50
3,300.91
ABOVE
EMA 200
3,236.97
ABOVE
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 3,324.10
Middle: 3,301.07
Lower: 3,278.03