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ETH

SELL
Generated 14 days ago (January 17, 2026 at 10:00 AM)

Confidence Score

74.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: 🔴 Bearish
Action: SELL
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$3,274
▼ 0.75% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$3,274
▼ 0.75% from current
30 Day
$3,215
▼ 2.54% from current
90 Day
$3,050
▼ 7.54% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is trading at $3298.75 with momentum stretched: RSI(14) at 75.36 signals overbought conditions and elevated pullback risk. Price is pressing the upper Bollinger Band ($3305.2) while BB bandwidth is only 0.98%, indicating a tight range where breakouts often fail without strong volume. Volume is weak (0.47x of the 20-period average), reducing confidence in continuation higher and increasing the probability of a mean-reversion move. Trend is labeled bearish and the EMA stack is flat and compressed (EMA12/26/50 clustered around $3293–$3296), suggesting limited upside follow-through and susceptibility to a downside rotation. MACD histogram is positive (1.77) and line is above signal, but both remain below zero, consistent with a bear-market rally rather than a confirmed bullish regime. With price near resistance ($3305) and weak participation, the higher-quality trade is to sell/close longs and target a move back toward the mid/lower band and nearby support. Ideal stop loss for the SELL: $3312.0 (above upper band and recent highs).

Key Factors

1 RSI overbought (75.36) + price hugging upper Bollinger Band, increasing mean-reversion risk
2 Low volume (0.47x) suggests lack of breakout confirmation and higher failure probability
3 Bearish market context with compressed EMAs and MACD still below zero (bearish regime)

Risk Assessment

Moderate risk: tight volatility (ATR $9.11) supports defined risk, but the order book is thin and a squeeze above $3305–$3315 could trigger stops. Main risk is a breakout on sudden volume expansion.

Market Context

Short-term range near resistance within a broader bearish trend; price is extended versus momentum metrics while participation is weak.

Technical Data

Current Price $3,298.75
24h Change 0.06%
Trend Bearish
RSI 75.36 Overbought
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
3,293.16
ABOVE
EMA 26
3,295.18
ABOVE
EMA 50
3,296.13
ABOVE
EMA 200
3,229.99
ABOVE
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 3,305.20
Middle: 3,289.14
Lower: 3,273.07