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ETH

SELL
Generated 14 days ago (January 17, 2026 at 06:00 AM)

Confidence Score

74.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: 🔴 Bearish
Action: SELL
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$3,271
▼ 0.62% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$3,255
▼ 1.10% from current
30 Day
$3,185
▼ 3.23% from current
90 Day
$3,050
▼ 7.33% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is showing late-stage upside exhaustion with weakening structure. RSI at 72.07 is overbought, and price is pressing the upper Bollinger Band ($3310.71) while bandwidth is very tight (1.2%), a setup that often precedes a volatility expansion; with the stated bearish trend, the higher-probability expansion is to the downside. Although MACD histogram is positive (1.44) and the MACD line (-3.88) is above signal (-5.32), both remain below zero, implying the bounce is corrective rather than a confirmed bullish regime shift. Price ($3291.35) is essentially flat vs the BB middle ($3290.94) and sitting below the 26/50 EMAs ($3295–$3296), signaling overhead resistance and limited upside follow-through. Volume is extremely weak (0.11x of 20-period average), reducing breakout credibility and increasing reversal risk. Order book shows heavier ask size than bid near spot, reinforcing near-term sell pressure. Ideal stop loss for a short is above the upper band/resistance to avoid a squeeze.

Key Factors

1 RSI overbought (72) + price near upper Bollinger Band with tight bandwidth, favoring a reversal/volatility expansion down in a bearish trend
2 MACD still below zero (bearish regime) despite a positive histogram, suggesting only a corrective bounce
3 Very low volume (0.11x) and heavier asks than bids, indicating weak demand and higher reversal risk

Risk Assessment

Moderate risk: tight bands can trigger sharp moves both ways; a squeeze above $3311–$3320 is the main risk. Low volume can cause whipsaws; keep position size conservative and respect the stop.

Market Context

Short-term bearish/sideways structure: price consolidating near $3290 with overhead EMA resistance ($3295–$3296) while holding well above the 200 EMA ($3227), implying a broader up-bias but a near-term corrective/downward pressure zone.

Technical Data

Current Price $3,291.35
24h Change -0.65%
Trend Bearish
RSI 72.07 Overbought
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
3,291.55
BELOW
EMA 26
3,295.42
BELOW
EMA 50
3,296.43
BELOW
EMA 200
3,227.38
ABOVE
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 3,310.71
Middle: 3,290.94
Lower: 3,271.17