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SOL

SELL
Generated 15 days ago (January 16, 2026 at 04:00 PM)

Confidence Score

74.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: 🔴 Bearish
Action: SELL
Asset: SOL

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$138
▼ 1.43% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$138
▼ 1.43% from current
30 Day
$132
▼ 5.90% from current
90 Day
$120
▼ 14.78% from current

Detailed Reasoning

SOL is showing a high-conviction bearish continuation setup after a sharp breakdown. Price ($140.81) is below the 12/26/50 EMAs (142.71/143.02/143.31), confirming short-term trend weakness, while sitting only marginally above the 200 EMA (140.80), a key pivot that is now being tested. RSI at 38.09 indicates weak momentum and room to fall before reaching oversold extremes, supporting further downside rather than an immediate mean reversion. MACD remains negative (line -0.31 below signal -0.29) with a negative histogram (-0.03), signaling bearish momentum persistence. The decisive red hourly candle (low to 140.27) came with very strong volume (6.46x average), which typically validates a breakdown and reduces the probability of an immediate V-reversal. Bollinger Bands are tight (1.99% bandwidth), and the move to/below the lower band suggests an expansion phase starting—often trending in the direction of the break. Ideal stop loss for a short is above 142.80 (near the mid-band/EMA cluster) to avoid whipsaw if price reclaims the breakdown zone.

Key Factors

1 Breakdown from the 143 area with 6.46x volume confirming bearish continuation
2 Price below 12/26/50 EMAs with MACD negative, indicating sustained downside momentum
3 200 EMA at ~140.80 is being tested; loss of this pivot increases drawdown risk

Risk Assessment

Moderate-to-high risk due to proximity to the 200 EMA (potential bounce/short squeeze) and tight Bollinger Bands (volatility expansion). Key risk is a fast reclaim above 142.6–143.3 triggering a reversal.

Market Context

Bearish short-term market structure: lower highs into an impulsive selloff, with price transitioning from consolidation (tight BB) into a downside expansion while testing the 200 EMA support pivot.

Technical Data

Current Price $140.81
24h Change -1.97%
Trend Bearish
RSI 38.09 Neutral-Bearish
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
142.71
BELOW
EMA 26
143.02
BELOW
EMA 50
143.31
BELOW
EMA 200
140.80
ABOVE
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 144.01
Middle: 142.60
Lower: 141.18