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ETH

SELL
Generated 17 days ago (January 14, 2026 at 04:20 AM)

Confidence Score

74.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: 🔴 Bearish
Action: SELL
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$3,227
▼ 3.46% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$3,250
▼ 2.77% from current
30 Day
$3,185
▼ 4.71% from current
90 Day
$3,450
▲ 3.21% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is in a strong short-term uptrend (price above EMA12/26/50/200 and MACD positive with a rising histogram), but conditions are stretched and favor profit-taking/mean reversion. RSI(14) at 85.41 is deeply overbought, and price ($3342.55) is pressing the upper Bollinger Band ($3391.32), a common spot for pullbacks after impulsive moves. The rally impulse is visible in the 22:00 candle (large range with very high volume), but follow-through is weakening: current volume is only 0.31x the 20-period average, suggesting buying pressure is fading near resistance. With ATR at $38.56, a normal retrace of 1–2 ATR ($40–$80) could quickly revisit the mid-band/EMA zone around $3225–$3285. Risk/reward favors a short/exit here: downside targets sit at $3285 (EMA12) then $3227 (BB mid), while upside is limited unless ETH breaks and holds above $3390. Ideal stop loss for a short is $3415 (above upper band/round-number breakout).

Key Factors

1 RSI extremely overbought (85.41) + price near upper Bollinger Band, signaling exhaustion risk
2 Volume confirmation is weak post-impulse (0.31x average), indicating fading momentum near resistance
3 Key trend EMAs are bullish, but mean-reversion setup offers better near-term risk/reward than chasing

Risk Assessment

Moderate risk: trend is bullish so shorts can be squeezed; key risk is a breakout above $3390–$3415 on renewed volume. Manage with tight stop and partial profits at supports.

Market Context

Bullish market structure with strong momentum from a recent breakout; however, price is extended above moving averages and statistically stretched versus Bollinger Bands, increasing pullback probability.

Technical Data

Current Price $3,342.55
24h Change 6.78%
Trend Bullish
RSI 85.41 Overbought
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
3,286.99
ABOVE
EMA 26
3,229.92
ABOVE
EMA 50
3,186.60
ABOVE
EMA 200
3,136.43
ABOVE
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 3,391.32
Middle: 3,226.91
Lower: 3,062.50