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ETH

SELL
Generated 18 days ago (January 13, 2026 at 10:25 PM)

Confidence Score

78.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: 🔴 Bearish
Action: SELL
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$3,205
▼ 3.65% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$3,210
▼ 3.49% from current
30 Day
$3,450
▲ 3.72% from current
90 Day
$3,800
▲ 14.24% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is in a strong short-term uptrend (price above EMA12/26/50/200; MACD line 33.56 > signal 18.21 with a positive histogram), but conditions are extremely stretched and favor profit-taking/mean reversion. RSI(14) at 91.01 signals severe overbought momentum, and price ($3326.25) is well above the Bollinger upper band ($3262.38), indicating an overextension beyond typical volatility. The last hourly candle shows a breakout impulse with very high volume (4.02x average), which often marks a local blow-off or exhaustion move rather than a low-risk continuation entry. With ATR ~$34.47, a normal pullback of 2–3 ATR ($70–$105) is plausible without breaking the broader bullish structure. Key support is the prior consolidation zone and EMAs around $3200–$3165; a move back toward that area offers better risk/reward than chasing higher here. Ideal stop loss for a short: ~$3405 (above the spike high/round-number resistance).

Key Factors

1 RSI 91 and price trading above the Bollinger upper band signal extreme overbought/overextension
2 Volume spike (4.02x) on the breakout candle suggests potential exhaustion/top risk
3 Risk/reward favors a pullback toward $3200–$3165 support versus limited upside near-term

Risk Assessment

Moderate-to-high risk: trend is bullish so shorts can be squeezed; best managed with tight risk controls. Key risks are continuation breakout above $3377 and sustained high-volume momentum. Volatility is elevated; use a hard stop.

Market Context

Bullish market structure with strong momentum and price above all major EMAs, but currently in a late-stage extension where mean reversion/pullback probability is elevated.

Technical Data

Current Price $3,326.25
24h Change 7.50%
Trend Bullish
RSI 91.01 Overbought
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
3,201.54
ABOVE
EMA 26
3,167.97
ABOVE
EMA 50
3,146.33
ABOVE
EMA 200
3,124.17
ABOVE
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 3,262.38
Middle: 3,164.38
Lower: 3,066.38