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ETH

SELL
Generated 18 days ago (January 13, 2026 at 09:00 PM)

Confidence Score

74.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: 🔴 Bearish
Action: SELL
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$3,148
▼ 1.75% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$3,125
▼ 2.47% from current
30 Day
$3,250
▲ 1.43% from current
90 Day
$3,500
▲ 9.24% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is in a clear short-term uptrend (price above EMA12/26/50/200 and MACD line 22.32 above signal 13.16 with a positive histogram), but the setup is now stretched and offers poor long-entry risk/reward. RSI(14) at 75.87 signals overbought conditions, and price is pressing the upper Bollinger Band (3204 vs upper 3214.95) with tight bandwidth (4.29%), often preceding a volatility expansion and mean reversion. Recent price action shows a strong impulse from ~3134 to ~3218, followed by a stall and pullback to 3204, suggesting momentum exhaustion near resistance. Order book is notably ask-heavy at the top of book (best ask size 339 vs bid 0.06), implying near-term selling pressure. With ATR ~$23.6, a typical pullback toward the Bollinger mid/EMA cluster around 3147–3136 is plausible. Recommendation: take profits/close longs (or tactical short) while overbought at resistance. Ideal stop loss for a short: $3235 (above recent high/upper band + ATR buffer).

Key Factors

1 RSI overbought (75.87) with price hugging the upper Bollinger Band near resistance
2 Signs of momentum stall after sharp impulse; MACD still positive but late-cycle for entry
3 Ask-heavy top-of-book suggesting near-term supply and pullback risk

Risk Assessment

Moderate risk: trend remains bullish, so shorting is counter-trend and vulnerable to a breakout above 3220–3235. Key risks are a volatility expansion upward and continuation squeeze; manage with tight stop and reduced size.

Market Context

Bullish market structure with price above all key EMAs, but short-term conditions are overextended and near-term mean reversion risk is elevated.

Technical Data

Current Price $3,204.05
24h Change 3.67%
Trend Bullish
RSI 75.87 Overbought
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
3,173.30
ABOVE
EMA 26
3,150.98
ABOVE
EMA 50
3,136.11
ABOVE
EMA 200
3,121.26
ABOVE
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 3,214.95
Middle: 3,147.42
Lower: 3,079.88