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ETH

SELL
Generated 18 days ago (January 13, 2026 at 07:00 PM)

Confidence Score

74.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: 🔴 Bearish
Action: SELL
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$3,136
▼ 2.01% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$3,145
▼ 1.74% from current
30 Day
$3,260
▲ 1.85% from current
90 Day
$3,520
▲ 9.97% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is in a clear short-term uptrend (price above EMA12/26/50/200 with bullish alignment and MACD line 17.74 above signal 9.41), but the setup is now stretched and risk of a pullback is elevated. RSI(14) at 82.37 signals overbought conditions, and price ($3200.85) is trading above the Bollinger upper band ($3194.76), a classic “band ride/extension” that often precedes mean reversion. Momentum remains positive (MACD histogram +8.33), yet the last impulse candle pushed into the 3214 high and closed near 3201, suggesting buyers are paying up into resistance. Volume is only moderately elevated (1.44x), supportive but not “blow-off” confirmation, which increases the odds of a near-term cooling. With ATR ~$22, a normal retrace to the Bollinger mid/EMA cluster around 3135–3155 is plausible within 1–7 days. Ideal stop loss for the short is above the recent swing high/extension zone at ~$3238.

Key Factors

1 RSI 82.37 + price above upper Bollinger band indicates overbought/extension risk
2 Approach into local resistance near 3214 with limited follow-through
3 Uptrend intact (bullish EMA stack and positive MACD), but risk/reward favors taking profit/mean reversion

Risk Assessment

Moderate risk: trend is bullish so shorts are counter-trend; main risk is continuation breakout above 3214–3240. Use tight risk controls due to strong momentum.

Market Context

Bullish market structure with strong short-term momentum, but currently in an overextended phase above key moving averages and outside the upper Bollinger band, favoring a near-term pullback/consolidation.

Technical Data

Current Price $3,200.85
24h Change 2.59%
Trend Bullish
RSI 82.37 Overbought
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
3,158.93
ABOVE
EMA 26
3,141.20
ABOVE
EMA 50
3,129.96
ABOVE
EMA 200
3,119.47
ABOVE
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 3,194.76
Middle: 3,136.48
Lower: 3,078.20