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ETH

SELL
Generated 18 days ago (January 13, 2026 at 05:00 PM)

Confidence Score

78.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: 🔴 Bearish
Action: SELL
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$3,128
▼ 1.66% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$3,135
▼ 1.44% from current
30 Day
$3,250
▲ 2.18% from current
90 Day
$3,500
▲ 10.04% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is in a strong short-term uptrend (price above EMA12/26/50/200 and MACD line 13.18 > signal 6.49 with a positive histogram), but conditions are now stretched and favor profit-taking rather than fresh longs. RSI at 83.05 is deeply overbought, increasing the probability of a mean-reversion pullback. Price ($3180.65) is also trading above the Bollinger upper band ($3177.52), a classic exhaustion signal when accompanied by elevated volume (1.84x average), suggesting late breakout participation that often precedes a shakeout. Momentum remains bullish, so the trade thesis is not trend reversal yet, but a tactical retracement toward the mid-band/EMA cluster around $3125–$3135 is high probability. With ATR at $20.64, a normal 1–2 ATR move down targets the $3140–$3120 region quickly. Ideal stop loss for a short/profit-taking SELL is above the recent swing high/round resistance near $3205 to avoid getting caught in a continuation spike.

Key Factors

1 RSI 83 and price above the Bollinger upper band indicate overbought/exhaustion risk
2 High volume (1.84x) on the push into $3180–$3196 suggests potential blow-off/late buyers
3 Near-term support is well-defined at the EMA/mid-band cluster ($3125–$3135), offering a clear downside target

Risk Assessment

Moderate risk: trend is bullish and MACD is positive, so shorts can be squeezed if $3196 breaks. Key risks are continuation breakout above $3200–$3210 and sustained momentum despite overbought signals.

Market Context

Bullish market structure with strong momentum, but currently extended above volatility bands; setup favors a short-term pullback within an uptrend rather than a macro reversal.

Technical Data

Current Price $3,180.65
24h Change 2.46%
Trend Bullish
RSI 83.05 Overbought
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
3,146.14
ABOVE
EMA 26
3,132.96
ABOVE
EMA 50
3,124.92
ABOVE
EMA 200
3,118.03
ABOVE
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 3,177.52
Middle: 3,126.71
Lower: 3,075.90