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ETH

SELL
Generated 18 days ago (January 13, 2026 at 03:40 PM)

Confidence Score

78.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: 🔴 Bearish
Action: SELL
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$3,122
▼ 1.21% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$3,095
▼ 2.07% from current
30 Day
$3,235
▲ 2.36% from current
90 Day
$3,450
▲ 9.17% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is in a bullish trend (price above EMA12/26/50/200), but the setup is now stretched and favors profit-taking/mean reversion. RSI(14) at 82.89 is deeply overbought, historically associated with pullback risk, especially when price is pressing the Bollinger upper band (3161.26) with very tight bandwidth (2.55%), a common prelude to a volatility expansion and snapback toward the mid-band. MACD remains positive (line 8.8 > signal 4.93) with a strong histogram, confirming momentum, but this also increases the probability of a momentum “cool-off” rather than a clean continuation without consolidation. Recent candles show a push from ~3130 to ~3170 with normal-to-slightly elevated volume (1.16x), suggesting buyers are active but not in a breakout-volume regime. With current price essentially at the upper band and near intraday highs, risk/reward is unfavorable for fresh longs; a controlled SELL targets a retrace toward the 3120–3082 support zone. Ideal stop loss for the SELL: 3188 (above the 3170.4 swing high + ~1 ATR).

Key Factors

1 RSI 82.89 (extreme overbought) + price riding the upper Bollinger band
2 Tight Bollinger bandwidth (2.55%) implying likely volatility expansion and mean reversion risk
3 Momentum still positive (MACD>signal) but extended move with only normal volume (1.16x) reduces breakout conviction

Risk Assessment

Moderate risk: trend is bullish so shorts are counter-trend; main risk is a breakout above 3170 leading to a squeeze. Keep position size conservative and respect stop at ~3188.

Market Context

Bullish market structure with price above key EMAs, but currently in an overextended, late-swing phase near resistance/upper band where pullbacks are common.

Technical Data

Current Price $3,160.35
24h Change 0.98%
Trend Bullish
RSI 82.89 Overbought
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
3,136.15
ABOVE
EMA 26
3,127.35
ABOVE
EMA 50
3,121.70
ABOVE
EMA 200
3,117.16
ABOVE
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 3,161.26
Middle: 3,121.54
Lower: 3,081.81