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ETH

SELL
Generated 20 days ago (January 11, 2026 at 01:20 PM)

Confidence Score

74.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: 🔴 Bearish
Action: SELL
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$3,096
▼ 0.57% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$3,090
▼ 0.77% from current
30 Day
$3,040
▼ 2.38% from current
90 Day
$2,960
▼ 4.95% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is showing late-stage bullish momentum with elevated reversal risk. RSI(14) at 78.02 is firmly overbought, and price is pressing the upper Bollinger Band (current $3114.05 vs upper $3113.65) with very tight bandwidth (1.11%), a setup that often precedes mean reversion or a volatility expansion. MACD remains bullish (line 4.3 > signal 1.85; histogram +2.44), but this is lagging and can stay positive into local tops; importantly, the move is not confirmed by participation: volume is only 0.4x the 20-period average, suggesting weak follow-through and higher odds of a fade. EMAs are tightly clustered (12/26/50 around $3099–$3103) and price is only marginally above/near EMA200 ($3112.39), reinforcing a “neutral” structure rather than a clean uptrend. With ATR ~$7.41, downside to the mid-band/EMA cluster is achievable near-term. Ideal stop loss for a short: $3126 (above recent highs/round-number breakout).

Key Factors

1 RSI overbought (78) with price riding/above the upper Bollinger Band (mean-reversion risk)
2 Low volume (0.4x average) despite the push to new intraday highs—weak breakout confirmation
3 Neutral market structure with tightly clustered EMAs and proximity to EMA200, limiting upside runway

Risk Assessment

Moderate risk: momentum is still bullish (MACD positive), so a squeeze higher is possible. Key risk is a breakout continuation above $3116–$3120 on rising volume; keep stops tight.

Market Context

Short-term push higher into resistance with overbought conditions; broader structure is neutral/consolidative around the EMA cluster and EMA200, favoring a pullback toward mean support.

Technical Data

Current Price $3,114.05
24h Change 0.75%
Trend Neutral
RSI 78.02 Overbought
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
3,103.01
ABOVE
EMA 26
3,098.71
ABOVE
EMA 50
3,101.15
ABOVE
EMA 200
3,112.39
ABOVE
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 3,113.65
Middle: 3,096.42
Lower: 3,079.19