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ETH

SELL
Generated 20 days ago (January 11, 2026 at 01:00 PM)

Confidence Score

76.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: 🔴 Bearish
Action: SELL
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$3,096
▼ 0.54% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$3,085
▼ 0.90% from current
30 Day
$3,050
▼ 2.02% from current
90 Day
$2,950
▼ 5.23% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH at $3112.95 is showing short-term momentum but with clear overheating signals. RSI(14) at 80.15 is deeply overbought, increasing the probability of a pullback or mean reversion. Price is also trading above the Bollinger upper band ($3110.65) while band width is very tight (0.99%), a setup that often precedes a volatility expansion; given the overbought RSI, the higher-probability expansion is down. MACD remains positive (histogram 2.19), but this is consistent with late-stage momentum rather than a fresh entry; risk/reward for new longs is poor here. EMAs (12/26/50) are clustered near $3097–$3101 and price is only marginally above the 200 EMA ($3112.38), suggesting limited upside before resistance and a strong magnet zone below. Volume is elevated (1.67x), which can mark a local blow-off into resistance. Prefer taking profit/closing longs and looking for a retrace toward the $3095–$3080 support band. Ideal stop loss for a short: $3126.0.

Key Factors

1 RSI(14) at 80.15 + price above the Bollinger upper band indicates overbought/mean-reversion risk
2 Tight Bollinger bandwidth (0.99%) suggests imminent volatility expansion with downside bias
3 Price extended above clustered EMAs ($3097–$3101) with limited upside before resistance

Risk Assessment

Moderate risk: trend is labeled neutral and MACD is still bullish, so shorts can be squeezed if price holds above $3115 and breaks higher. Key risk is a continuation breakout; manage with a tight stop above $3126 and avoid oversizing.

Market Context

Neutral-to-slightly bullish structure but stretched: price is extended relative to short/mid EMAs and pressing the 200 EMA/upper band area, favoring a short-term pullback toward mean support.

Technical Data

Current Price $3,112.95
24h Change 0.61%
Trend Neutral
RSI 80.15 Overbought
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
3,101.03
ABOVE
EMA 26
3,097.50
ABOVE
EMA 50
3,100.63
ABOVE
EMA 200
3,112.38
ABOVE
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 3,110.65
Middle: 3,095.31
Lower: 3,079.97