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ETH

BUY
Generated 24 days ago (January 08, 2026 at 01:20 AM)

Confidence Score

74.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: 🟢 Bullish
Action: BUY
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$3,260
▲ 2.79% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$3,260
▲ 2.79% from current
30 Day
$3,345
▲ 5.47% from current
90 Day
$3,520
▲ 10.99% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH at $3171.55 is showing a high-probability mean-reversion setup despite the broader bearish trend. RSI(14) at 28.67 is oversold, suggesting downside momentum is stretched. MACD remains negative (line -19.67) but has crossed above the signal (-22.54) with a positive histogram (+2.87), indicating bearish momentum is fading and a short-term rebound is developing. Price is holding above the 200 EMA ($3128.62) and above the lower Bollinger Band ($3110.63), with the middle band/EMA cluster ($3186–$3198) acting as near-term resistance. The recent hourly candles show stabilization after probing $3125–$3134 support, and the order book spread is tight, reducing execution risk. The main caution is volume: current volume is only 0.18x the 20-period average, so this is a tactical bounce trade rather than a trend reversal. Ideal stop loss: $3118 (below lower band and recent swing support) to preserve capital if support fails.

Key Factors

1 RSI oversold (28.67) + price stabilizing near support (3125–3135 zone)
2 MACD histogram positive and line crossing above signal (momentum improvement)
3 Price holding above 200 EMA with tight spread, but volume confirmation is weak (0.18x)

Risk Assessment

Moderate risk: broader trend is bearish and volume is weak, so a bounce can fail quickly. Key risk is a breakdown below $3125 leading to acceleration toward the lower BB and below the 200 EMA.

Market Context

Short-term bearish structure with signs of momentum exhaustion; likely mean-reversion bounce within a downtrend unless ETH reclaims and holds above the $3186–$3200 resistance cluster.

Technical Data

Current Price $3,171.55
24h Change -2.99%
Trend Bearish
RSI 28.67 Oversold
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
3,169.28
ABOVE
EMA 26
3,188.95
BELOW
EMA 50
3,198.13
BELOW
EMA 200
3,128.62
ABOVE
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 3,261.49
Middle: 3,186.06
Lower: 3,110.63