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ETH

SELL
Generated 25 days ago (January 06, 2026 at 03:20 PM)

Confidence Score

74.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: 🔴 Bearish
Action: SELL
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$3,233
▼ 1.70% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$3,235
▼ 1.64% from current
30 Day
$3,400
▲ 3.37% from current
90 Day
$3,650
▲ 10.97% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is in a strong short-term uptrend (EMA12 > EMA26 > EMA50 > EMA200 and price above all key EMAs), but the setup is now stretched and favors profit-taking/mean reversion rather than fresh long exposure. RSI(14) at 77.79 signals overbought conditions, increasing the probability of a pullback or consolidation. Price ($3289) is also trading above the Bollinger upper band ($3270.64), a classic extension signal; with low bandwidth (2.35%), this looks like a volatility squeeze releasing upward, often followed by a snap-back toward the mid-band ($3232.61). MACD remains bullish (histogram +4.82), but this is a lagging indicator and can stay positive while price retraces. The 14:00 candle shows a strong impulse with elevated volume, followed by a smaller continuation candle—momentum may be tiring near the 3290–3310 resistance zone. Given ATR ~$20, a realistic downside move to the mid-band/EMA12 area is achievable within 1–7 days. Ideal stop loss for a short: $3335 (above recent high/round-number breakout zone).

Key Factors

1 RSI 77.79 and price above the Bollinger upper band indicate overextension/overbought risk
2 Resistance/extension zone near 3290–3310 after an impulse move, increasing pullback probability
3 Trend remains bullish (EMAs stacked, MACD positive), so downside is likely corrective not structural

Risk Assessment

Moderate risk: trend is bullish so shorting is counter-trend; main risk is continuation squeeze above 3310–3335. Use tight risk controls and avoid oversized positions.

Market Context

Bullish market structure with strong EMA alignment and positive MACD, but short-term price is extended above volatility bands, suggesting a near-term correction/consolidation is likely.

Technical Data

Current Price $3,289.05
24h Change 3.34%
Trend Bullish
RSI 77.79 Overbought
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
3,243.25
ABOVE
EMA 26
3,223.97
ABOVE
EMA 50
3,198.16
ABOVE
EMA 200
3,096.63
ABOVE
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 3,270.64
Middle: 3,232.61
Lower: 3,194.57