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ETH

SELL
Generated 26 days ago (January 05, 2026 at 08:40 PM)

Confidence Score

74.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: 🔴 Bearish
Action: SELL
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$3,183
▼ 2.06% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$3,185
▼ 2.00% from current
30 Day
$3,325
▲ 2.31% from current
90 Day
$3,625
▲ 11.54% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is in a clear short-term uptrend (price above EMA12/26/50/200 and MACD strongly positive with a rising histogram), but conditions are now stretched and favor profit-taking rather than fresh longs. RSI at 75.77 signals overbought momentum and elevated pullback risk. Price ($3249.85) is also trading above the upper Bollinger Band ($3236.04), indicating a volatility “overshoot” where mean reversion often follows, especially after a +3.38% daily move. Recent candles show strong impulsive buying from ~3150 to ~3250 with high-volume spikes (notably 17:00–18:00), then smaller consolidation, suggesting buyers may be tiring near resistance. With Bollinger bandwidth tight (3.36%), a squeeze expansion has occurred; after an expansion, price commonly retraces toward the middle band/EMAs. Risk/reward for a short is favorable targeting the mid-band/EMA zone while invalidation sits just above the current swing high. Ideal stop loss: $3295 (above recent high/extension).

Key Factors

1 RSI 75.77 and price above the upper Bollinger Band signal overbought/mean-reversion risk
2 Momentum remains bullish (MACD positive, EMAs aligned), increasing whipsaw risk but still consistent with profit-taking
3 Post-impulse consolidation near resistance with only normal volume suggests upside is less asymmetric than downside to mean

Risk Assessment

Moderate risk: trend is bullish, so shorts can be squeezed; tight spread and strong momentum can extend. Key risk is a breakout continuation above $3265–$3300. Manage with a hard stop and reduced size.

Market Context

Bullish market structure with price above all key EMAs; however, short-term extension above the upper Bollinger Band and overbought RSI suggest a likely pullback toward the mean (middle band/EMA cluster).

Technical Data

Current Price $3,249.85
24h Change 3.38%
Trend Bullish
RSI 75.77 Overbought
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
3,199.51
ABOVE
EMA 26
3,179.10
ABOVE
EMA 50
3,156.74
ABOVE
EMA 200
3,068.65
ABOVE
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 3,236.04
Middle: 3,182.64
Lower: 3,129.24