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ETH

SELL
Generated 28 days ago (January 04, 2026 at 02:00 AM)

Confidence Score

74.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: 🔴 Bearish
Action: SELL
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$3,111
▼ 1.21% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$3,090
▼ 1.87% from current
30 Day
$3,225
▲ 2.42% from current
90 Day
$3,450
▲ 9.56% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is in a strong uptrend (price above EMA12/26/50/200 with bullish alignment), but the short-term setup is stretched and favors profit-taking or a tactical short. RSI(14) at 79.29 signals overbought conditions, increasing pullback risk. Price is also trading above the upper Bollinger Band (3148.95 vs 3144.66) with narrow bandwidth (2.18%), which often precedes mean reversion after a volatility squeeze. MACD remains positive (histogram +4.18), confirming momentum, but this is late-stage momentum and can roll over quickly when RSI is extreme. The 00:00 candle shows a sharp impulse to 3166 on high volume, followed by a slight fade into 3148.9—suggesting potential exhaustion near resistance. Order book is notably ask-heavy (250 vs 16 size at top), reinforcing near-term supply overhead. Ideal stop loss for a short/exit is above the recent spike high at 3168 (slightly above 3166) to avoid wick-outs, targeting a pullback toward the mid-band/EMA cluster.

Key Factors

1 RSI 79.29 + price above upper Bollinger Band indicates overbought/extension risk
2 Ask-heavy order book at the top of book suggests near-term resistance/supply
3 Post-impulse fade after the 3166 spike hints at momentum exhaustion despite bullish MACD

Risk Assessment

Moderate risk: trend is bullish so shorts can be squeezed; use a tight invalidation above 3168. Key risks are continuation breakout above 3166 and renewed momentum with volume expansion.

Market Context

Bullish market structure with strong EMA stack (12>26>50>200), but short-term is extended and vulnerable to a mean-reversion pullback toward 3110-3089 support.

Technical Data

Current Price $3,148.95
24h Change 0.77%
Trend Bullish
RSI 79.29 Overbought
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
3,124.76
ABOVE
EMA 26
3,111.59
ABOVE
EMA 50
3,088.72
ABOVE
EMA 200
3,018.45
ABOVE
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 3,144.66
Middle: 3,110.75
Lower: 3,076.83