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ETH

SELL
Generated 28 days ago (January 04, 2026 at 01:40 AM)

Confidence Score

74.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: 🔴 Bearish
Action: SELL
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$3,111
▼ 1.18% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$3,090
▼ 1.85% from current
30 Day
$3,235
▲ 2.76% from current
90 Day
$3,450
▲ 9.58% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is in a clear bullish trend (price above EMA12/26/50/200 with a positive MACD: line 13.12 > signal 8.98 and a rising histogram 4.14), but the near-term setup is stretched and favors profit-taking/mean reversion rather than fresh longs. RSI(14) at 78.76 is strongly overbought, and price ($3148.25) is trading above the Bollinger upper band ($3144.49), indicating a volatility “push” that often precedes a pullback toward the mid-band/EMAs. The breakout candle at 00:00 showed a sharp impulse (H 3166) on very high volume (36954), followed by a smaller, lower-volume hour and a close back near the upper band—suggesting momentum may be tiring short-term. With tight spreads and normal current volume (1.14x), there’s no strong continuation confirmation at these levels. Ideal stop loss for a short is above the recent swing high and round-number resistance near $3168–$3172; downside targets are the BB midline/EMA26 zone first, then EMA50 if selling accelerates.

Key Factors

1 RSI extremely overbought (78.76) + price outside/above upper Bollinger Band (mean-reversion risk)
2 Post-impulse candle (3166 high) followed by cooling volume and slight pullback, hinting at short-term exhaustion
3 Despite bullish EMAs/MACD, risk/reward favors taking profits/shorting into resistance rather than chasing

Risk Assessment

Moderate risk: trend is bullish, so shorts are counter-trend and require tight risk control. Key risks are continuation breakout above 3166/3170 and sustained momentum supported by renewed volume. Use a hard stop above 3172 and consider partial profits into 3111–3110 support.

Market Context

Bullish market structure with price holding above all major EMAs; however, short-term conditions are overheated and extended beyond the upper Bollinger Band, increasing pullback probability toward 3110–3089 support.

Technical Data

Current Price $3,148.25
24h Change 0.75%
Trend Bullish
RSI 78.76 Overbought
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
3,124.67
ABOVE
EMA 26
3,111.55
ABOVE
EMA 50
3,088.70
ABOVE
EMA 200
3,018.45
ABOVE
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 3,144.49
Middle: 3,110.72
Lower: 3,076.94