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ETH

SELL
Generated 29 days ago (January 02, 2026 at 10:40 PM)

Confidence Score

74.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: 🔴 Bearish
Action: SELL
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$3,069
▼ 1.97% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$3,075
▼ 1.80% from current
30 Day
$3,200
▲ 2.20% from current
90 Day
$3,450
▲ 10.18% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is in a clear short-term uptrend (price above EMA12/26/50/200 and MACD line 33.42 > signal 28.32 with a positive histogram), but the setup is now stretched and vulnerable to a pullback. RSI at 79.61 is strongly overbought, and price ($3131) is pressing the upper Bollinger Band ($3156), signaling momentum exhaustion risk. The rally impulse occurred on a large volume spike at 14:00–16:00, but follow-through volume has collapsed (current volume 0.19x the 20-period average), suggesting weakening demand at higher prices. Order book also shows heavy near-term supply (ask size far larger than bid), reinforcing overhead resistance around 3145–3160. With ATR ~$31, a mean-reversion move back toward the Bollinger midline/EMA26 zone ($3065–$3070) is a realistic 1–7 day target. Recommendation is to SELL (take profit / close longs, or tactical short) rather than chase an extended move.

Key Factors

1 RSI extremely overbought (79.61) with price near the upper Bollinger Band (overextension)
2 Volume fade after the impulse move (0.19x average) indicating weakening breakout strength
3 Overhead resistance/supply near 3145–3160 and order book skew (large ask size)

Risk Assessment

Moderate risk: trend is bullish so shorts face squeeze risk if 3156–3160 breaks on rising volume. Key risks are continuation breakout above the upper band and renewed momentum. Manage with a tight stop.

Market Context

Bullish market structure with strong EMA stack (12>26>50>200) and positive MACD, but currently in late-stage impulse/overbought conditions with signs of demand exhaustion.

Technical Data

Current Price $3,131.25
24h Change 4.28%
Trend Bullish
RSI 79.61 Overbought
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
3,100.07
ABOVE
EMA 26
3,066.66
ABOVE
EMA 50
3,036.47
ABOVE
EMA 200
2,988.33
ABOVE
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 3,156.55
Middle: 3,069.68
Lower: 2,982.81