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ETH

SELL
Generated 30 days ago (January 02, 2026 at 08:40 PM)

Confidence Score

74.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: 🔴 Bearish
Action: SELL
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$3,057
▼ 2.05% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$3,055
▼ 2.11% from current
30 Day
$3,225
▲ 3.33% from current
90 Day
$3,480
▲ 11.50% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is in a clear bullish trend (price above EMA12/26/50/200 with EMA12>EMA26 and MACD positive), but the setup is now stretched and vulnerable to a pullback. RSI at 77.03 signals overbought conditions and increases the probability of mean reversion. Price is trading near the upper Bollinger Band (3120.95 vs upper 3142.58) after a sharp impulse candle (14:00–16:00) with heavy volume, followed by fading participation: the latest volume is only 0.39x the 20-period average. That combination (overbought + upper band + declining volume) often precedes consolidation or a dip toward the mid-band/EMAs. The order book also shows notable ask-side size at 3120.6 versus a small best bid, suggesting near-term supply overhead. With ATR ~30.86, a retrace of 1–2 ATR is plausible without breaking the broader uptrend. Recommendation: take profits/close longs and look for re-entry closer to support.

Key Factors

1 RSI overbought (77) with price hugging the upper Bollinger Band (mean-reversion risk)
2 Volume weakening sharply (0.39x average) after the impulse move, signaling momentum exhaustion
3 Ask-side liquidity overhead near spot (best ask size >> best bid), increasing rejection risk

Risk Assessment

Moderate-to-high risk for longs due to overbought conditions and fading volume; key risks are a quick pullback toward $3057 (EMA26/mid-band) or deeper to ~$3030 (EMA50). Invalidation is a clean breakout/hold above ~$3145–$3150 on rising volume.

Market Context

Bullish higher-timeframe structure (price above rising EMAs) but short-term market is extended; likely transitioning from impulse to consolidation/pullback toward moving-average support.

Technical Data

Current Price $3,120.95
24h Change 4.41%
Trend Bullish
RSI 77.03 Overbought
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
3,088.46
ABOVE
EMA 26
3,056.26
ABOVE
EMA 50
3,028.76
ABOVE
EMA 200
2,985.45
ABOVE
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 3,142.58
Middle: 3,056.95
Lower: 2,971.32