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ETH

SELL
Generated 30 days ago (January 02, 2026 at 06:00 PM)

Confidence Score

74.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: πŸ”΄ Bearish
Action: SELL
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$3,040
β–Ό 2.60% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$3,035
β–Ό 2.76% from current
30 Day
$3,185
β–² 2.04% from current
90 Day
$3,450
β–² 10.53% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is in a strong short-term uptrend (price above EMA12/26/50/200 and MACD line 29.03 > signal 18.84 with a positive histogram), but conditions are stretched and favor profit-taking/mean reversion rather than fresh longs. RSI at 78.29 signals overbought momentum, increasing the probability of a pullback. Price ($3121.25) is trading above the upper Bollinger Band ($3115.57), a classic β€œoutside band” extension that often retraces toward the middle band/EMAs. Recent candles show a sharp impulse (notably the 14:00–16:00 surge with high volume) followed by reduced volume (0.83x average) and a slight fade from the 3148 high, hinting at momentum cooling. With ATR ~$29.4, a normal retracement of 1–2 ATR targets the $3060–$3030 zone. Recommendation: SELL/close longs into strength with an ideal stop loss above $3160 (above the impulse high plus volatility). Take profit is set near the first meaningful mean-reversion support.

Key Factors

1 RSI 78.29 + price above upper Bollinger Band indicates overbought/extension risk
2 Momentum may be topping: surge followed by lower volume and slight pullback from 3148 high
3 Mean-reversion supports cluster at EMA12/26 and BB middle (~$3069–$3040–$3039)

Risk Assessment

Moderate risk: trend is bullish, so shorts can be squeezed if ETH breaks and holds above 3150–3160. Key risk is continuation momentum; manage with a tight stop above recent highs and scale profits into supports.

Market Context

Bullish market structure with strong upside momentum, but currently in an overextended condition versus volatility bands and short-term oscillators, favoring a near-term pullback/consolidation.

Technical Data

Current Price $3,121.25
24h Change 4.39%
Trend Bullish
RSI 78.29 Overbought
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
3,069.41
ABOVE
EMA 26
3,040.38
ABOVE
EMA 50
3,017.48
ABOVE
EMA 200
2,981.40
ABOVE
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 3,115.57
Middle: 3,039.73
Lower: 2,963.88