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ETH

SELL
Generated about 1 month ago (December 26, 2025 at 09:40 PM)

Confidence Score

74.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: 🔴 Bearish
Action: SELL
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$2,892
▼ 1.25% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$2,885
▼ 1.49% from current
30 Day
$2,760
▼ 5.76% from current
90 Day
$2,580
▼ 11.90% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is showing a weak, bearish technical setup with limited evidence of an immediate reversal. Momentum is negative: RSI(14) at 41.06 is below neutral and not yet at oversold levels that typically precede high-conviction bounces. MACD is decisively bearish (line -6.1 below signal -1.51 with a negative histogram -4.6), indicating downside momentum remains in control. Price ($2928.55) is trading below all key EMAs (12/26/50/200), confirming a bearish market structure and overhead dynamic resistance between ~$2934–$2964. The sharp sell candle at 14:00 (drop from ~2983 to ~2917) on extremely high volume suggests distribution and a breakdown from the mid-Bollinger area; subsequent recovery attempts have been muted. Current volume is very low (0.15x of 20-period average), implying weak dip-buying conviction and increasing risk of another leg down. With Bollinger lower band near $2901.9 and ATR ~$19.36, a push to the $2890–$2880 zone is plausible if $2900 fails. Ideal stop loss for a short: $2966 (above EMA200/near prior breakdown zone).

Key Factors

1 Price below all major EMAs (12/26/50/200) indicating bearish structure and strong overhead resistance
2 MACD deeply negative with bearish histogram, signaling sustained downside momentum
3 Breakdown candle on very high volume followed by low-volume bounce (weak demand confirmation)

Risk Assessment

Moderate risk: volatility is contained (ATR ~$19) but thin current volume can cause whipsaws. Key risk is a short squeeze/reclaim above ~$2960–$2965 which would negate the bearish setup.

Market Context

Short-term trend is bearish with price consolidating below a cluster of EMAs; support sits near the lower Bollinger band (~$2902) and then ~$2880, while resistance is ~$2950–$2965 and ~$2999.

Technical Data

Current Price $2,928.55
24h Change 0.28%
Trend Bearish
RSI 41.06 Neutral-Bearish
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
2,934.47
BELOW
EMA 26
2,940.57
BELOW
EMA 50
2,943.88
BELOW
EMA 200
2,964.13
BELOW
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 2,998.71
Middle: 2,950.31
Lower: 2,901.91