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SOL

SELL
Generated about 1 month ago (December 26, 2025 at 02:00 AM)

Confidence Score

74.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: 🔴 Bearish
Action: SELL
Asset: SOL

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$119
▼ 1.23% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$118
▼ 1.90% from current
30 Day
$112
▼ 7.28% from current
90 Day
$105
▼ 13.07% from current

Detailed Reasoning

SOL is showing bearish continuation signals with weak momentum and heavy sell-side pressure. RSI at 44.81 is below the neutral 50 level (not oversold), leaving room for further downside without a mean-reversion trigger. MACD is clearly negative (line -0.36 vs signal 0.03; histogram -0.39), confirming downside momentum. Price ($120.79) is trading below the 12/26/50 EMAs (121.88/122.24/122.63) and well below the 200 EMA (124.76), reinforcing a bearish market structure and overhead resistance. Recent candles show a sharp breakdown from ~123–124 into the 119.26–120.30 zone with a high-volume impulse (volume ratio 2.06x), suggesting distribution rather than a shallow pullback. Bollinger Bands are tight (3.51% bandwidth) with price hugging the lower band (120.12), which often precedes an expansion move; given trend and MACD, the higher-probability expansion is downward. Ideal stop loss for a short: $122.40 (above mid-band/near EMA cluster).

Key Factors

1 Bearish momentum confirmation from MACD (negative line and histogram) alongside price below key EMAs
2 High volume on the breakdown indicates strong participation and increases follow-through risk
3 Lower Bollinger Band pressure with tight bandwidth suggests imminent volatility expansion, biased down with current trend

Risk Assessment

Moderate risk: price is near the lower Bollinger Band, so a short-term bounce is possible; however, the dominant risk is a continuation flush toward prior support. Use a tight stop above the EMA cluster and manage position size due to potential volatility expansion.

Market Context

Bearish short-term structure: lower highs from 124+ and a breakdown into the 120 area. Overhead resistance is concentrated at 122.3–124.8 (middle band and EMAs), while near-term support sits around 120.1 then 119.3.

Technical Data

Current Price $120.79
24h Change -1.84%
Trend Bearish
RSI 44.81 Neutral-Bearish
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
121.88
BELOW
EMA 26
122.24
BELOW
EMA 50
122.63
BELOW
EMA 200
124.76
BELOW
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 124.41
Middle: 122.26
Lower: 120.12