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SOL

SELL
Generated about 1 month ago (December 26, 2025 at 12:40 AM)

Confidence Score

74.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: 🔴 Bearish
Action: SELL
Asset: SOL

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$116
▼ 2.62% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$116
▼ 2.62% from current
30 Day
$110
▼ 7.87% from current
90 Day
$98
▼ 18.29% from current

Detailed Reasoning

SOL is showing a high-conviction bearish setup. Price ($119.94) is trading below the 12/26/50/200 EMAs (all clustered $122–$125), confirming a downtrend and overhead supply. Momentum is weak: RSI(14) at 39.45 is not yet oversold, leaving room for further downside before a mean-reversion bid is likely. MACD is clearly negative (line -0.31 vs signal 0.07; histogram -0.37), indicating bearish acceleration rather than stabilization. Price is also below the Bollinger lower band ($120.21), suggesting a volatility expansion to the downside; while this can precede a bounce, the move is supported by elevated volume (1.59x average), which increases the probability of continuation. Recent candles show a sharp breakdown from the $123–$124 area into $119–$120 with strong sell volume. Ideal stop loss for a short is above the broken support/EMA cluster near $122.60 (approx. 2.6 ATR above), targeting the next demand zone around $116–$117 for a >1:2 risk/reward.

Key Factors

1 Price below all key EMAs with bearish market structure (overhead resistance at $122–$125)
2 MACD strongly negative with expanding bearish histogram (momentum deterioration)
3 Breakdown below Bollinger lower band on high relative volume (1.59x) signaling downside continuation risk

Risk Assessment

Moderate-to-high risk: price is extended below the lower Bollinger band, so short-term snapback rallies are possible. Main risk is a quick mean-reversion reclaim of $121.5–$122.5; manage with a tight stop above $122.60 and avoid oversizing given ATR ~$1.03.

Market Context

Bearish short-term trend with a breakdown from the $123–$124 range into a lower low near $119.3; resistance stacked at $120.2 (BB lower), then $122–$123 (EMA cluster), with support forming around $119.3 then $117 and $115.

Technical Data

Current Price $119.94
24h Change -2.29%
Trend Bearish
RSI 39.45 Neutral-Bearish
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
122.03
BELOW
EMA 26
122.33
BELOW
EMA 50
122.69
BELOW
EMA 200
124.80
BELOW
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 124.44
Middle: 122.32
Lower: 120.21