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ETH

SELL
Generated about 1 month ago (December 25, 2025 at 11:40 PM)

Confidence Score

74.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: 🔴 Bearish
Action: SELL
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$2,860
▼ 1.18% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$2,860
▼ 1.18% from current
30 Day
$2,740
▼ 5.33% from current
90 Day
$2,520
▼ 12.93% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is showing a high-conviction bearish continuation setup. Momentum is weak: RSI(14) at 37.54 is not yet oversold but firmly in bearish territory, leaving room for further downside. MACD is negative (line -3.49 vs signal 0.46) with a deeply negative histogram (-3.94), confirming accelerating downside momentum rather than a reversal. Price ($2894.15) is trading below all key EMAs (12/26/50/200), indicating a broad downtrend across short-to-long timeframes and overhead resistance stacked from ~$2934 to ~$2968. Bollinger Bands show price below the lower band (~$2905.95), and the last two hourly candles broke down sharply (22:00–23:00) on elevated volume (2.13x average), suggesting distribution and a breakdown attempt rather than a low-volume wick. With ATR ~$18, near-term support is likely around $2880 then $2860; a retest of the breakdown zone near $2935–$2945 is the logical invalidation. Ideal stop loss for a short is ~$2950 (above the EMA cluster/failed rebound zone).

Key Factors

1 Price below EMA 12/26/50/200 with bearish market structure (stacked resistance overhead)
2 MACD strongly negative with expanding bearish histogram (momentum confirmation)
3 Breakdown move accompanied by high relative volume (2.13x), supporting continuation risk

Risk Assessment

Moderate-to-high risk: price is slightly below the lower Bollinger Band, so a short-term mean-reversion bounce is possible; however, trend and momentum remain bearish. Key risk is a sharp squeeze back above $2935–$2950 on continued high volume.

Market Context

Bearish trend with a recent impulsive drop from the $2950–$2960 area into the $2890s; resistance is concentrated at $2935–$2968 (EMA cluster and prior intraday highs), while support is forming near $2880 then $2860.

Technical Data

Current Price $2,894.15
24h Change -1.49%
Trend Bearish
RSI 37.54 Neutral-Bearish
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
2,934.48
BELOW
EMA 26
2,937.97
BELOW
EMA 50
2,943.50
BELOW
EMA 200
2,968.40
BELOW
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 2,968.20
Middle: 2,937.08
Lower: 2,905.95