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ETH

SELL
Generated about 1 month ago (December 25, 2025 at 12:00 PM)

Confidence Score

74.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: 🔴 Bearish
Action: SELL
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$2,896
▼ 0.96% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$2,885
▼ 1.34% from current
30 Day
$2,790
▼ 4.59% from current
90 Day
$2,625
▼ 10.23% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is showing a weak, bearish structure with momentum still deteriorating. RSI(14) at 34.34 is near oversold but not yet at capitulation levels, and it has not shown a clear bullish divergence in the provided candles. MACD remains firmly bearish (line -4.33 below signal -1.14, histogram -3.19), indicating downside momentum is still dominant rather than reversing. Price ($2924.15) is trading below the 12/26/50/200 EMAs, with the EMA stack sloping bearish (12<26<50<200), reinforcing a downtrend and making rallies likely to be sold. Bollinger Bands are tight (1.28% bandwidth) and price is hugging the lower band (~$2921.9), suggesting pressure on support and risk of a volatility expansion lower. The 08:00 candle showed a sharp sell-off to $2916.8 on elevated volume, and subsequent recovery is weak with volume below the 20-period average (0.7x), implying limited dip-buying strength. Ideal stop loss for a short: $2948 (above EMA50 / recent intraday resistance).

Key Factors

1 Bearish momentum confirmation: MACD deeply negative with expanding bearish histogram
2 Trend alignment: price below all key EMAs with bearish EMA stacking (12<26<50<200)
3 Support pressure: price riding lower Bollinger Band with tight bandwidth (risk of breakdown/volatility expansion)

Risk Assessment

Moderate risk: RSI near oversold increases short-squeeze/rebound risk, especially if $2920 holds. Key risks are a bounce back above $2940-$2950 (EMA cluster) and volatility expansion upward. Use a tight stop and avoid oversizing.

Market Context

Short-term market structure is bearish with lower highs and price acceptance below the EMA cluster; buyers are not showing strong volume response after the sell impulse, keeping downside continuation favored unless ETH reclaims $2940-$2950.

Technical Data

Current Price $2,924.15
24h Change -0.40%
Trend Bearish
RSI 34.34 Neutral-Bearish
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
2,934.30
BELOW
EMA 26
2,938.62
BELOW
EMA 50
2,946.60
BELOW
EMA 200
2,972.23
BELOW
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 2,959.65
Middle: 2,940.78
Lower: 2,921.90