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SOL

SELL
Generated about 1 month ago (December 24, 2025 at 06:00 AM)

Confidence Score

74.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: 🔴 Bearish
Action: SELL
Asset: SOL

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$118
▼ 2.06% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$118
▼ 2.06% from current
30 Day
$112
▼ 7.33% from current
90 Day
$104
▼ 14.33% from current

Detailed Reasoning

SOL is showing a clear bearish bias with weakening momentum and no meaningful reversal signals yet. Price ($121.4) is trading below all key EMAs (12/26/50/200), confirming a stacked bearish structure and overhead resistance from ~$122.9–$126.1. MACD is negative with the line below the signal (histogram -0.25), indicating downside momentum remains in control rather than bottoming. RSI at 39.43 is weak but not deeply oversold, leaving room for further downside before a high-probability mean-reversion bounce. Price is pressing the lower Bollinger Band (~$121.5) with tight bandwidth (3.19%), suggesting a volatility squeeze; in a downtrend, squeezes often resolve lower. Recent candles show lower highs and a grind down from ~$124.6 to ~$121.4. Volume is only 0.7x of the 20-period average, which reduces confidence in any bounce and supports the view that bids are not stepping in aggressively. Ideal stop loss for a short: $123.10 (above EMA12/near BB midline).

Key Factors

1 Bearish market structure: price below all major EMAs with overhead resistance cluster
2 MACD negative and deteriorating (line below signal; negative histogram) confirming downside momentum
3 RSI ~39 and low volume suggest weak demand and limited reversal confirmation

Risk Assessment

Moderate risk: price is near the lower Bollinger Band, so a short-term snapback is possible, especially given the tight spread/liquidity. Key risk is a squeeze back above $123–$124 that invalidates the immediate bearish setup.

Market Context

Short-term downtrend with lower highs/lows; volatility compressed (BB bandwidth low) and momentum bearish, favoring continuation unless price reclaims the $123.5–$124.5 zone on stronger volume.

Technical Data

Current Price $121.4
24h Change -2.33%
Trend Bearish
RSI 39.43 Neutral-Bearish
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
122.89
BELOW
EMA 26
123.65
BELOW
EMA 50
124.34
BELOW
EMA 200
126.14
BELOW
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 125.44
Middle: 123.47
Lower: 121.50