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SOL

SELL
Generated about 5 hours ago (February 12, 2026 at 05:00 PM)

Confidence Score

78.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: 🔴 Bearish
Action: SELL
Asset: SOL

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$75
▼ 3.90% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$75
▼ 4.15% from current
30 Day
$70
▼ 9.90% from current
90 Day
$64
▼ 18.21% from current

Detailed Reasoning

SOL is showing a high-conviction bearish continuation setup. Price ($78.25) has broken below the key EMA cluster (12/26/50 all ~80.5–81.5) and remains well under the 200 EMA ($87.54), confirming a broader downtrend. Momentum is negative: MACD line (-0.20) is below signal (-0.04) with a negative histogram (-0.16), indicating accelerating downside. RSI 37.72 is weak (not yet deeply oversold), leaving room for further selling before a bounce becomes likely. Bollinger Bands show price pressing the lower band region (Lower $78.69) with tight bandwidth (4.61%), and the latest candle drove sharply to $78.15 on extreme volume (4.26x average), consistent with distribution and a breakdown move rather than a low-volume shakeout. Order book is also ask-heavy (74.49 vs 9.53 at best levels), suggesting near-term supply. Ideal stop loss for a short is above the broken support/EMA area near $81.20; take profit targets focus on the next demand zone around $75.

Key Factors

1 Breakdown below EMA 12/26/50 with price firmly under 200 EMA (trend confirmation)
2 Bearish MACD structure with negative histogram (downside momentum building)
3 Capitulation-style sell candle on 4.26x volume plus ask-heavy top-of-book (supply dominance)

Risk Assessment

Moderate-to-high risk: RSI is nearing oversold and price is near the lower Bollinger Band, so sharp short-covering bounces are possible. Primary risk is a mean-reversion rally back toward $80.5–$81.5; use a tight stop above that zone.

Market Context

Bearish market structure with lower highs/lower lows; recent breakdown from the $80–$82 area suggests continuation toward lower support unless price reclaims the EMA cluster.

Technical Data

Current Price $78.25
24h Change -0.87%
Trend Bearish
RSI 37.72 Neutral-Bearish
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
80.55
BELOW
EMA 26
80.75
BELOW
EMA 50
81.49
BELOW
EMA 200
87.54
BELOW
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 82.40
Middle: 80.54
Lower: 78.69