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ETH

HOLD
Generated about 1 hour ago (February 05, 2026 at 08:20 PM)

Confidence Score

74.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: ⚪ Neutral
Action: HOLD
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$1,955
▲ 3.44% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$1,955
▲ 3.44% from current
30 Day
$2,050
▲ 8.46% from current
90 Day
$2,250
▲ 19.04% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is in a strong short-term downtrend with heavy momentum: price ($1890) is below all key EMAs (12/26/50/200), and MACD remains bearish (line -64.48 below signal -47.32; negative histogram), confirming downside trend strength. RSI(14) at 23.05 signals deeply oversold conditions, but oversold alone is not a buy trigger while momentum is still accelerating down. Price is also trading slightly below the lower Bollinger Band (lower $1901.61), suggesting a potential mean-reversion bounce, yet the last hours show a sharp breakdown (large red candle to $1927 low) followed by continued drift lower into $1890. Order book is skewed to the ask (very large ask size vs small bid), implying overhead supply and limiting immediate upside follow-through. With ATR ~$53, volatility is elevated; chasing a long here risks another liquidation leg, while shorting into oversold conditions risks a snapback. Best approach is to hold/stand aside until a bullish trigger appears (RSI recovery + MACD histogram improving and reclaim of ~$1902–$1950). Ideal stop loss for any tactical long attempt would be below $1840.

Key Factors

1 RSI 23 and price below lower Bollinger Band indicate oversold/mean-reversion potential, but not confirmed
2 Bearish trend and momentum: price below all EMAs and MACD negative with worsening histogram
3 Order book imbalance (large ask wall) and elevated ATR increase whipsaw risk

Risk Assessment

High risk due to strong bearish trend, elevated volatility (ATR $53), and potential for further downside if $1889/$1850 breaks; also high squeeze risk if a relief rally triggers from oversold.

Market Context

Market structure is bearish with lower highs/lows and price extended far below short- and mid-term EMAs; conditions are oversold but trend control remains with sellers until reclaim of $1902–$1995 zone.

Technical Data

Current Price $1,890.05
24h Change -11.22%
Trend Bearish
RSI 23.05 Oversold
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
1,993.63
BELOW
EMA 26
2,058.11
BELOW
EMA 50
2,126.21
BELOW
EMA 200
2,410.08
BELOW
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 2,201.14
Middle: 2,051.38
Lower: 1,901.61