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ETH

HOLD
Generated about 2 hours ago (February 04, 2026 at 09:40 PM)

Confidence Score

74.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: ⚪ Neutral
Action: HOLD
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$2,218
▲ 3.41% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$2,218
▲ 3.41% from current
30 Day
$2,330
▲ 8.63% from current
90 Day
$2,500
▲ 16.55% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is in a clear bearish structure: price ($2144.95) is below EMA12/26/50 and far below EMA200, confirming a dominant downtrend. Momentum is still negative with MACD below the signal line (histogram -5.48), suggesting downside pressure hasn’t fully dissipated. However, RSI(14) at 23.73 is deeply oversold and price is trading near the lower Bollinger Band ($2105), which often precedes short-term mean reversion bounces. Recent candles show heavy selloff from ~$2250 to a low near $2076.5, followed by a rebound attempt, but the latest close slipped back toward $2145, implying weak follow-through. Volume is only 0.54x of the 20-period average, so there is insufficient confirmation for a durable reversal, and the order book shows a large ask wall at $2145 that may cap immediate upside. Net: avoid chasing shorts into oversold conditions, but don’t buy until a reclaim of ~$2218 (BB mid/EMA26 area) with improving volume. Ideal stop-loss for any tactical long would be below $2075.

Key Factors

1 RSI deeply oversold (23.73) near lower Bollinger Band support (~$2105), increasing bounce risk
2 Trend remains bearish with price below key EMAs (12/26/50/200) and MACD still negative
3 Low volume (0.54x) and large ask liquidity near $2145 reduce confidence in a reversal

Risk Assessment

Risk is elevated due to strong downtrend and negative MACD; main risk is a continuation breakdown below $2105 toward the $2075–$2050 zone. Counter-risk is a sharp oversold bounce toward $2218–$2250 if shorts cover.

Market Context

Bearish market structure with accelerating selloff from the $2250 area; attempting to base near $2105–$2075 support but lacking volume confirmation for reversal.

Technical Data

Current Price $2,144.95
24h Change -4.02%
Trend Bearish
RSI 23.73 Oversold
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
2,180.44
BELOW
EMA 26
2,212.60
BELOW
EMA 50
2,250.83
BELOW
EMA 200
2,500.79
BELOW
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 2,330.63
Middle: 2,217.88
Lower: 2,105.12