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ETH

HOLD
Generated about 1 hour ago (February 04, 2026 at 08:40 PM)

Confidence Score

72.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: ⚪ Neutral
Action: HOLD
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$2,224
▲ 2.26% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$2,225
▲ 2.31% from current
30 Day
$2,350
▲ 8.06% from current
90 Day
$2,500
▲ 14.96% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is deeply oversold (RSI 14 at 28.81) after a sharp selloff (-4.71% 24h), which increases the probability of a short-term mean-reversion bounce. However, trend and momentum remain bearish: price is below EMA12/26/50 and far below EMA200, and MACD is negative with a worsening histogram (-7.0), indicating downside momentum is still dominant. Bollinger positioning shows price near the lower band ($2115) with bandwidth at 9.81%, suggesting elevated but not extreme volatility; a bounce is possible, but not yet confirmed. Recent candles show heavy capitulation volume during the drop (notably 15:00–18:00), followed by a rebound to $2188 and a pullback to $2174 on low volume (0.56x), which weakens the case for an immediate BUY. Key levels: support $2115 then $2075; resistance $2224 (BB mid) and $2255 (EMA50). Best approach is to HOLD and wait for confirmation (MACD histogram improving and reclaim of $2224) before going long. If already long, ideal stop loss is $2070.

Key Factors

1 RSI oversold near 28 with price hugging the lower Bollinger Band (mean-reversion potential)
2 Bearish momentum persists (MACD negative and below key EMAs)
3 Low current volume on bounce attempt (insufficient confirmation for BUY)

Risk Assessment

Moderate-high risk: trend is bearish and a break below $2115 could accelerate toward $2075/$2000. Volatility (ATR ~$45.8) implies wide intraday swings; use tight risk controls and avoid sizing up without confirmation.

Market Context

Bearish market structure with lower highs/lower lows; price remains below short-, mid-, and long-term EMAs, indicating a downtrend despite near-term oversold conditions.

Technical Data

Current Price $2,174.75
24h Change -4.71%
Trend Bearish
RSI 28.81 Oversold
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
2,187.53
BELOW
EMA 26
2,218.32
BELOW
EMA 50
2,255.32
BELOW
EMA 200
2,504.39
BELOW
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 2,333.38
Middle: 2,224.23
Lower: 2,115.08