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ETH

SELL
Generated about 8 hours ago (February 04, 2026 at 02:00 PM)

Confidence Score

77.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: 🔴 Bearish
Action: SELL
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$2,105
▼ 4.22% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$2,105
▼ 4.22% from current
30 Day
$1,980
▼ 9.91% from current
90 Day
$2,350
▲ 6.92% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is in a clear short-term downtrend with momentum still bearish. Price ($2197.85) is trading below the 12/26/50 EMAs ($2251/$2262/$2287) and far below the 200 EMA ($2529), confirming a bearish market structure. MACD is negative (line -10.95 below signal -6.62) with a negative histogram (-4.33), indicating accelerating downside momentum rather than a basing turn. RSI 41.73 is weak but not oversold, leaving room for further selling before mean-reversion buyers typically step in. Price is also pressing the lower Bollinger Band ($2171), and the sharp hourly selloff into $2198 suggests a breakdown from the prior consolidation near $2250–$2280. Volume is below average (0.69x), which reduces confidence in a capitulation low and favors continuation/slow grind lower. Order book shows heavy ask size at best ask, implying overhead supply. Ideal stop loss for a short/exit trigger is above $2265 (near prior support-turned-resistance and above recent swing area).

Key Factors

1 Bearish trend alignment: price below 12/26/50/200 EMAs and bearish structure
2 MACD negative with a widening bearish histogram (momentum accelerating down)
3 Breakdown toward lower Bollinger Band with weak RSI (not oversold) and low volume support

Risk Assessment

Moderate-to-high risk: price is near the lower Bollinger Band, so a short-term bounce is possible; however, trend/momentum remain bearish. Key risks are a mean-reversion rally back to $2250–$2280 and volatility spikes (ATR ~$30.8).

Market Context

Overall bearish market structure with lower highs/lower lows; current move is a continuation leg below key moving averages, with $2250–$2280 acting as resistance and $2170 then ~$2100 as next support zones.

Technical Data

Current Price $2,197.85
24h Change -2.53%
Trend Bearish
RSI 41.73 Neutral-Bearish
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
2,251.05
BELOW
EMA 26
2,262.00
BELOW
EMA 50
2,287.26
BELOW
EMA 200
2,529.57
BELOW
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 2,329.01
Middle: 2,250.24
Lower: 2,171.47