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ETH

HOLD
Generated about 2 hours ago (February 02, 2026 at 12:40 AM)

Confidence Score

71.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: ⚪ Neutral
Action: HOLD
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$2,356
▲ 2.03% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$2,365
▲ 2.40% from current
30 Day
$2,460
▲ 6.51% from current
90 Day
$2,700
▲ 16.91% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH remains in a clear bearish structure: price ($2309.55) is below the 12/26 EMAs (2324.83/2375.97) and well below the 50/200 EMAs (2463.05/2739.34), confirming a downtrend with overhead resistance. RSI(14) at 40.44 is weak but not oversold, suggesting downside pressure can persist without a mean-reversion catalyst. However, MACD shows early stabilization: the MACD line (-51.13) is above the signal (-53.48) with a positive histogram (2.35), indicating bearish momentum is easing and a short-term bounce is possible. Price is also sitting near the lower Bollinger Band (2254.8) after a high-volume sell candle (23:00) and a rebound to 2309, which often leads to choppy consolidation rather than immediate trend reversal. With volume slightly below average (0.87x) and no strong breakout confirmation, risk/reward for both fresh longs and shorts is not compelling. Ideal stop loss if holding/attempting a tactical long: $2235 (below lower band and recent swing low zone).

Key Factors

1 Bearish trend confirmed by price below key EMAs (12/26/50/200) with strong overhead resistance
2 MACD histogram turning positive suggests downside momentum is fading (potential bounce/consolidation)
3 Price near lower Bollinger Band after capitulation-like volume spike implies volatility/chop risk

Risk Assessment

Moderate-high risk: trend is bearish and volatility is elevated (ATR ~$54.6). Key risks are a breakdown below ~$2250 leading to acceleration lower, or whipsaw rebounds into EMA resistance (~$2355–$2375).

Market Context

Bearish market structure with lower highs/lower lows; current move looks like a relief bounce/consolidation near lower Bollinger support rather than a confirmed reversal.

Technical Data

Current Price $2,309.55
24h Change -5.45%
Trend Bearish
RSI 40.44 Neutral-Bearish
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
2,324.83
BELOW
EMA 26
2,375.97
BELOW
EMA 50
2,463.05
BELOW
EMA 200
2,739.34
BELOW
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 2,458.12
Middle: 2,356.46
Lower: 2,254.80