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SOL

HOLD
Generated about 2 hours ago (February 01, 2026 at 08:20 PM)

Confidence Score

72.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: ⚪ Neutral
Action: HOLD
Asset: SOL

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$104
▲ 2.67% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$104
▲ 2.67% from current
30 Day
$109
▲ 7.60% from current
90 Day
$118
▲ 16.49% from current

Detailed Reasoning

SOL is trading at $101.3, sitting just above the lower Bollinger Band ($101.04) with RSI(14) at 33.54, indicating near-oversold conditions and a potential short-term bounce zone. However, trend and structure remain bearish: price is below EMA12 ($102.98), EMA26 ($104.78), EMA50 ($107.93), and especially EMA200 ($118.03), showing a stacked bearish EMA alignment and overhead resistance. MACD is at -1.8 with the signal also -1.8 and a flat histogram (-0.0), suggesting downside momentum is no longer accelerating but there is not yet a confirmed bullish reversal. Recent candles show a sharp selloff (to ~$100.11) followed by weak stabilization, and the current volume is extremely low (0.18x average), reducing confidence in any breakout or reversal attempt. With low participation and heavy overhead resistance near $104–$106.9, the best play is to wait for confirmation (reclaim of $103.96/$104.78 on rising volume) before buying, or a clean breakdown below $101.0 before selling aggressively. Ideal stop loss (if attempting a tactical long): $99.80.

Key Factors

1 Bearish market structure with price below all key EMAs (12/26/50/200) and overhead resistance
2 RSI near oversold and price hugging the lower Bollinger Band suggests bounce potential but not confirmation
3 Very low volume (0.18x) and flat MACD histogram indicate weak conviction and unreliable signals

Risk Assessment

Moderate-to-high risk: bearish trend increases drawdown risk if $101.0 breaks; low volume raises whipsaw risk. Key downside level is ~$101.0 then $100.1; upside capped by $104–$106.9 unless volume expands.

Market Context

Short-term bearish trend with a potential basing attempt near lower Bollinger Band support; broader structure remains down (EMA200 far above), implying rallies are likely to face selling pressure.

Technical Data

Current Price $101.3
24h Change -1.98%
Trend Bearish
RSI 33.54 Neutral-Bearish
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
102.98
BELOW
EMA 26
104.78
BELOW
EMA 50
107.93
BELOW
EMA 200
118.03
BELOW
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 106.88
Middle: 103.96
Lower: 101.04