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ETH

HOLD
Generated about 1 hour ago (February 01, 2026 at 07:40 PM)

Confidence Score

74.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: ⚪ Neutral
Action: HOLD
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$2,394
▲ 2.40% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$2,395
▲ 2.44% from current
30 Day
$2,250
▼ 3.76% from current
90 Day
$2,100
▼ 10.18% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is in a clear bearish structure: price ($2337.95) is below EMA12 ($2361.55), EMA26 ($2413.32), EMA50 ($2499.99) and far below EMA200 ($2762.11), confirming a downtrend with overhead resistance stacked tightly from $2360–$2500. Momentum remains negative: RSI(14) at 34.29 is near oversold but not yet showing a strong reversal trigger, while MACD is still below the signal (histogram -0.5), implying bearish momentum persists despite some slowing. Price action shows a sharp selloff into $2285–$2300 followed by a bounce to ~$2350, but the rebound occurred on low participation (volume ratio 0.5x), weakening the bullish case. Bollinger Bands place price near the lower band ($2298.97), suggesting short-term mean reversion potential, yet without volume confirmation and with MACD still negative, conviction for a BUY is insufficient. Ideal stop loss if taking a tactical long would be below $2280; for a short, invalidation is above $2415.

Key Factors

1 Bearish trend confirmed by price below EMA12/26/50/200 with heavy overhead resistance
2 RSI near oversold and price near lower Bollinger Band suggests bounce potential but not a confirmed reversal
3 Low volume on rebound (0.5x average) reduces confidence in a durable move

Risk Assessment

Moderate-to-high risk: ATR ~$44.5 implies ~$90 daily swing potential; trend is bearish so longs face drawdown risk, while shorts risk a sharp oversold squeeze near $2300 support.

Market Context

Downtrend with a recent capitulation leg into the $2285–$2300 support zone and a weak bounce; market remains below key moving averages and momentum is still negative.

Technical Data

Current Price $2,337.95
24h Change -1.80%
Trend Bearish
RSI 34.29 Neutral-Bearish
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
2,361.55
BELOW
EMA 26
2,413.32
BELOW
EMA 50
2,499.99
BELOW
EMA 200
2,762.11
BELOW
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 2,489.35
Middle: 2,394.16
Lower: 2,298.97