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ETH

HOLD
Generated about 1 hour ago (February 01, 2026 at 03:40 PM)

Confidence Score

74.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: ⚪ Neutral
Action: HOLD
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$2,412
▲ 4.42% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$2,412
▲ 4.41% from current
30 Day
$2,525
▲ 9.30% from current
90 Day
$2,775
▲ 20.13% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is in a clear bearish structure: price ($2310) is below the 12/26/50/200 EMAs (2392/2444/2530/2780), confirming strong downtrend and overhead resistance. Momentum remains negative with MACD below zero and the histogram still negative (-0.88), suggesting the selloff isn’t fully exhausted yet. However, RSI(14) at 24.39 is deeply oversold, and price is already below the lower Bollinger Band ($2343), which often precedes mean-reversion bounces. The last hours show a sharp breakdown (low $2285) on high volume (1.55x average), indicating capitulation risk but also potential for a short-term relief rally. Given conflicting signals (trend bearish vs. oversold extremes), a high-conviction BUY is premature without a bullish reversal trigger (e.g., reclaiming $2343–$2412 with improving MACD). A SELL here risks chasing extension after a -6.9% day. Ideal stop loss for any tactical long attempt would be below $2285 (e.g., $2265).

Key Factors

1 Deep oversold conditions (RSI 24.39) with price below the lower Bollinger Band signaling bounce potential
2 Dominant downtrend: price below all key EMAs and bearish market structure
3 High volume selloff (1.55x) suggests capitulation but also elevated volatility/whipsaw risk

Risk Assessment

High risk: strong bearish trend and elevated volatility (ATR ~$38.7) can drive further downside toward/through $2285. Key risks are continued liquidation, failed bounce attempts, and resistance rejection at $2343–$2412.

Market Context

Bearish trend with accelerated downside momentum; price is extended below volatility bands, implying potential short-term mean reversion but within a broader downtrend.

Technical Data

Current Price $2,310.05
24h Change -6.90%
Trend Bearish
RSI 24.39 Oversold
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
2,392.06
BELOW
EMA 26
2,444.03
BELOW
EMA 50
2,529.91
BELOW
EMA 200
2,779.91
BELOW
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 2,481.20
Middle: 2,412.10
Lower: 2,343.00