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ETH

HOLD
Generated about 1 hour ago (February 01, 2026 at 01:20 PM)

Confidence Score

73.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: ⚪ Neutral
Action: HOLD
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$2,466
▲ 2.62% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$2,465
▲ 2.54% from current
30 Day
$2,320
▼ 3.49% from current
90 Day
$2,680
▲ 11.49% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is in a clear bearish structure: price ($2403.85) is below EMA12 ($2417), EMA26 ($2463), EMA50 ($2547) and far below EMA200 ($2789), confirming a downtrend with overhead resistance stacked from $2417–$2467. Momentum is attempting to stabilize: RSI(14) at 38.19 is weak but not yet deeply oversold, while MACD remains negative (line -45.92) but has crossed above the signal (-52.84) with a positive histogram (+6.92), suggesting bearish momentum is fading and a short-term bounce is possible. Bollinger Bands are tight (4.1% bandwidth) with price near the lower band ($2367.67), indicating compression after a selloff and potential mean reversion, but confirmation is lacking. Volume is extremely low (0.12x of 20-period average), weakening the reliability of any reversal signal. Order book shows heavy ask size at best ask, implying near-term selling pressure. Ideal stop loss if initiating a tactical long would be ~$2365 (below lower band/near recent lows), but without volume confirmation, waiting is favored.

Key Factors

1 Bearish trend confirmed by price below EMA12/26/50/200 with strong overhead resistance
2 MACD histogram positive (momentum loss) but MACD still below zero, implying only a tentative bounce setup
3 Very low volume (0.12x) and heavy ask liquidity reduce conviction for a BUY reversal

Risk Assessment

Moderate-to-high risk: trend is down and rallies can fail at $2417–$2467; low volume increases whipsaw risk. Key downside risk is a break below ~$2368 leading to acceleration toward ~$2320–$2280.

Market Context

Short-term bearish market structure with compression near the lower Bollinger Band; potential dead-cat bounce/mean reversion exists but lacks volume confirmation and remains within a broader downtrend.

Technical Data

Current Price $2,403.85
24h Change -5.26%
Trend Bearish
RSI 38.19 Neutral-Bearish
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
2,417.37
BELOW
EMA 26
2,463.29
BELOW
EMA 50
2,546.71
BELOW
EMA 200
2,789.07
BELOW
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 2,466.80
Middle: 2,417.23
Lower: 2,367.67