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ETH

HOLD
Generated about 1 hour ago (February 01, 2026 at 07:40 AM)

Confidence Score

72.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: ⚪ Neutral
Action: HOLD
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$2,456
▲ 1.74% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$2,475
▲ 2.50% from current
30 Day
$2,585
▲ 7.05% from current
90 Day
$2,810
▲ 16.37% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is in a clear bearish structure: price ($2414.65) is below EMA12 ($2442), EMA26 ($2498), EMA50 ($2585) and far below EMA200 ($2813), confirming a downtrend with overhead supply. However, momentum is attempting to stabilize—MACD remains negative but the histogram is positive (+10.94), suggesting bearish momentum is fading and a short-term bounce is possible. RSI at 54 is neutral (not oversold), so there is no high-conviction mean-reversion BUY yet. Bollinger Bands show price near the lower half of the range (lower band $2314), implying downside room remains if support breaks. The 24h drop (-8.66%) increases volatility risk, and volume is weak (0.32x of 20-period average), meaning any rebound lacks confirmation. Order book shows heavier ask size than bid at the top, reinforcing near-term resistance. Ideal plan: stay flat or maintain existing position; for a tactical long, wait for reclaim of $2456–$2498 with rising volume. If already long, consider a protective stop loss around $2385.

Key Factors

1 Strong bearish trend: price below all key EMAs (12/26/50/200) with overhead resistance
2 MACD histogram positive while MACD is still negative, indicating weakening bearish momentum but not a confirmed reversal
3 Low volume (0.32x) and heavier best-ask liquidity reduce conviction for a bounce

Risk Assessment

Moderate-to-high risk due to recent -8.66% selloff, price below key EMAs, and weak volume confirmation. Key risks: breakdown below ~$2400 leading to a move toward the $2314 lower band; failed bounce into $2456–$2500 resistance.

Market Context

Bearish market structure with a potential short-term relief bounce; trend remains down until ETH reclaims the $2456–$2500 zone and holds above EMA12/EMA26 with stronger volume.

Technical Data

Current Price $2,414.65
24h Change -8.66%
Trend Bearish
RSI 54.21 Neutral-Bullish
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
2,442.13
BELOW
EMA 26
2,498.34
BELOW
EMA 50
2,585.48
BELOW
EMA 200
2,812.99
BELOW
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 2,599.04
Middle: 2,456.65
Lower: 2,314.26