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ETH

HOLD
Generated about 1 hour ago (January 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM)

Confidence Score

72.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: ⚪ Neutral
Action: HOLD
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$2,693
▲ 2.04% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$2,695
▲ 2.11% from current
30 Day
$2,780
▲ 5.33% from current
90 Day
$2,920
▲ 10.63% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is in a clear short-term downtrend: price ($2639) is below the 12/26/50/200 EMAs, and the EMA stack is bearishly aligned (12<26<50<200), confirming weak market structure. Momentum also remains negative with MACD below signal (histogram -3.43), suggesting the selloff is not fully exhausted yet. However, RSI(14) at 14.9 is extremely oversold and price is sitting on the lower Bollinger Band ($2636), which often precedes a mean-reversion bounce; downside follow-through becomes less attractive here unless support breaks decisively. The large sell candle around 08:00 came with very high volume, but the current volume ratio is only 0.23x, implying sellers are not pressing aggressively at the lows and a base could form. Order book is also ask-heavy at the top, limiting immediate upside. Net: risk/reward for fresh shorting is poor at support, while a long lacks confirmation (needs reclaim of ~$2693–$2705). Ideal stop reference: if long later, stop below $2610; if short, stop above $2705.

Key Factors

1 Extremely oversold RSI (14.9) with price hugging the lower Bollinger Band (~$2636) suggests bounce risk
2 Bearish trend structure: price below all key EMAs with bearish EMA alignment
3 MACD still negative with weak current volume (0.23x) indicating unclear follow-through

Risk Assessment

Moderate-to-high risk: trend is bearish and could break $2636 support, but oversold conditions increase whipsaw/short-squeeze risk. Key risk is a breakdown toward the next support zone near $2600–$2580.

Market Context

Bearish market structure with sharp impulsive selloff and attempted stabilization at lower Bollinger support; momentum still negative but conditions are stretched/oversold.

Technical Data

Current Price $2,639.35
24h Change -3.65%
Trend Bearish
RSI 14.90 Oversold
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
2,673.35
BELOW
EMA 26
2,703.61
BELOW
EMA 50
2,753.71
BELOW
EMA 200
2,892.91
BELOW
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 2,750.30
Middle: 2,693.22
Lower: 2,636.13