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ETH

HOLD
Generated about 1 hour ago (January 31, 2026 at 08:20 AM)

Confidence Score

72.0%
High Confidence

Signal Analysis

Type: ⚪ Neutral
Action: HOLD
Asset: ETH

🎯 Take Profit Target

Recommended Take Profit Price
$2,707
▲ 1.46% from current price

This is the primary price target for executing your trade. Place your take profit order at this level for optimal risk/reward based on current technical analysis.

Price Forecasts

7 Day
$2,707
▲ 1.46% from current
30 Day
$2,785
▲ 4.38% from current
90 Day
$2,920
▲ 9.44% from current

Detailed Reasoning

ETH is deeply oversold (RSI 14 at 25.47) while price is pressing the lower Bollinger Band ($2667.21) with a very tight bandwidth (2.96%), suggesting a volatility squeeze and elevated mean-reversion odds. Momentum is still bearish structurally: price is below EMA12/26/50/200 (2695/2721/2768/2901), confirming a broader downtrend and overhead resistance stack. However, MACD is showing early bullish divergence/relief potential: the MACD line (-25.1) is above the signal (-26.29) and histogram is positive (+1.19), implying downside momentum is weakening even as trend remains bearish. Recent candles show a sharp sell-off into $2666–$2652 with no strong rebound yet, and volume is notably low (0.37x of 20-period average), reducing confidence in a durable reversal. Order book is ask-heavy (82.82 vs 14.66), adding near-term supply pressure. Net: conditions favor waiting for confirmation (reclaim of $2707–$2720 or higher volume) rather than chasing a falling trend; if already long, avoid adding and manage risk tightly. Ideal stop loss (if long): $2642 (below recent low/ATR buffer).

Key Factors

1 RSI deeply oversold and price hugging lower Bollinger Band (mean-reversion setup)
2 Bearish market structure with price below all key EMAs (trend still down)
3 Low volume and ask-heavy book reduce conviction in an immediate reversal

Risk Assessment

Moderate-to-high risk: trend is bearish and liquidity/volume confirmation is weak; a breakdown below ~$2650 can accelerate toward the next demand zone. Key risks are continuation sell-off and failed oversold bounce.

Market Context

Short-term bearish impulse into a squeeze/oversold condition; broader structure remains below major moving averages with resistance layered from $2707 to $2768.

Technical Data

Current Price $2,668.25
24h Change -1.92%
Trend Bearish
RSI 25.47 Oversold
Exponential Moving Averages
EMA 12
2,695.44
BELOW
EMA 26
2,720.54
BELOW
EMA 50
2,768.47
BELOW
EMA 200
2,900.78
BELOW
Bollinger Bands
Upper: 2,747.33
Middle: 2,707.27
Lower: 2,667.21